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This Month

The Treasurer’s “too low” iron ore forecast will likely deliver a budget windfall next year.

Iron ore above $US100 to deliver budget windfall next year

Market pundits say the government’s “too low” iron ore forecast – more than 50 per cent below current levels – will push the budget into a surplus.

  • Joanne Tran
The oil price has stabilised, but the spreads between monthly contracts –  a critical barometer for supply and demand –  continue to indicate weakness.

Oil steadies after longest decline in five years

Oil has dropped by about a fifth since late September as output surges in the US and other key producers.

  • Updated
  • Grant Smith and Yongchang Chin
Some drivers are curbing car trips in response to soaring petrol prices.

Petrol prices drop 30¢ at the bowser as oil slumps

It is good news for motorists as NRMA says petrol prices are expected to fall further across the country, unless you live in Sydney.

  • Joanne Tran
“The technical bounces we see are low conviction and may lack staying power,” said Rebecca Babin, a senior energy trader at CIBC Private Wealth.

Oil’s brief relief rally fades as bearish sentiment settles in

US oil retreated below $US70 a barrel after slumping 11 per cent over the previous five sessions, the longest run of daily losses since February.

  • Mia Gindis
Spot prices of lithium carbonate, a partially processed form of the metal, are down more than 80 per cent from a peak last November to 98,500 yuan ($US13,761) a tonne.

Chinese lithium stocks surge, lifting hope rout almost done

China’s two biggest producers – Tianqi Lithium Corp and Ganfeng Lithium Group Co – closed up 6.5 per cent and 7 per cent in Hong Kong.

  • Bloomberg News
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The sun sets behind a pumpjack in Midland, Texas.

Oil drops to a five-month low as US crude exports fuel pessimism

US benchmark West Texas Intermediate fell more than 4 per cent to break below $US70 a barrel. Brent crude slid below the $US75 mark.

  • Julia Fanzeres and Alex Longley
Iron ore has defied predictions of a slump by surging about 16 per cent in the past six weeks, buoyed by Beijing’s efforts to support its struggling steel-intensive property sector.

Vale says China can’t control price of iron ore

“The rule of economics [is] going to drive the price, the rule meaning supply and demand,” Vale chief executive Eduardo Bartolomeo says.

  • Mariana Durao and Thomas Biesheuvel

Gold price swings dramatically after surging to record

The precious metal rallied in Asia only to be sold off in the US amid signs that traders’ aggressive pricing of Federal Reserve rate cuts may have gone too far.

  • Sybilla Gross and Eddie Spence
The outcome of the OPEC+ meeting was a “confusing, entangled mess”, said Vandana Hari, founder of Vanda Insights.

Oil extends losses amid pessimism over swelling global supplies

Benchmark oil fell back below $US80 a barrel, and US oil tumbled below $US75 as the price outlook turned bleak.

  • Mia Gindis and Alex Longley

November

Citi has upped its forecast for the iron ore price to hit $US140 a tonne.

China’s property stimulus creates iron ore price conundrum

Beijing is taking the most decisive steps yet to ease the impact of a devastating real estate crunch, but it’s also grappling with the price of iron ore.

  • Bloomberg News
OPEC+ said after its last meeting in June that the 2024 output quotas of Angola, Nigeria and Congo were conditional on reviews by outside analysts.

Angola, Nigeria target higher oil output amid OPEC+ talks

Angolan OPEC governor Estevao Pedro said it was “fighting” to boost production and that investment was being made to make that happen.

  • Alex Lawler, Ahmad Ghaddar and Maha El Dahan
The Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies face an increasingly fragile picture for oil prices.

Oil plunges after OPEC+ meeting delayed as talks hit turbulence

Brent crude tumbled more than 4 per cent, briefly falling below $79 a barrel, amid Saudi dissatisfaction with other members’ oil production levels.

  • Fiona MacDonald, Nayla Razzouk and Salma El Wardany
Wells Fargo: “We expect a roughly 10 per cent jump in gas prices to lift the headline rate to 0.6 per cent.”

Oil rebounds on expectations OPEC will further cut output

Volatility swung through oil markets again, propelling crude 4 per cent higher in New York’s final session of the week.

  • Timothy Moore

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The price slump comes as crude supplies remain robust despite OPEC+ supply cuts and reduced Russian exports.

Oil plunges to July low, fuelled by swelling supplies

Brent crude settled 4.6 per cent lower, and US oil tumbled 4.9 per cent, as selling pushed the commodity through key support levels.

  • Julia Fanzeres and Mia Gindis
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Despite the low prices, SQM will continue to run at full capacity, building inventory to be ready when purchasing rebounds, Carlos Diaz, head of lithium, told analysts.

SQM sees lithium glut pushing down prices through year-end

SQM has “seen some softening of demand outside China”, an executive said, though the company held its forecast for global demand to rise 20 per cent this year.

  • James Attwood
Lab-grown diamonds currently represent a small portion of the market.

Diamond world takes radical steps to stop price plunge

With prices in free fall around the globe, slowing demand and swelling inventory has prompted one-time monopoly De Beers to take unprecedented action.

  • Thomas Biesheuvel
Robert Mackenzie of Macka’s Pastoral is hopeful that cattle and sheep prices are finally on the rebound

Cattle market on the rebound after 70pc price plunge

A much welcome rain boon has halted the tumble in cattle and beef prices, but farmers still need to badly reduce their flocks and herds for a major improvement.

  • Cecile Lefort
Petrol prices are expected to fall in cities such as Sydney in the coming weeks.

Petrol prices to drop as Middle East supply fears ease

NRMA said prices in some Australian cities were hitting the top of their cycle as geopolitical tensions in the Middle East appeared to have subsided.

  • Joshua Peach
Steelmaking in China. Iron ore prices reach March highs on Monday.

China steel-making boss says iron ore prices ‘unreasonable’

Iron ore futures in Singapore slipped on Wednesday as the president of a state-run company warned that the elevated costs were squeezing margins.

  • Joshua Peach and Tim Moore