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Wall Street

Today

Dan Ives estimates there are more than 100 million iPhones in China “in the window of an upgrade opportunity”.

Apple to reach $US4 trillion value in 2024: Wedbush

Dan Ives calls the dispute involving the tech giant’s watches, which has dented the stock’s rise this week, a “headache issue” that will be resolved soon.

  • Timothy Moore
Analysts’ average price target on Tesla reflects an expectation for the stock to fall about 6 per cent over the next 12 months.

Tesla is getting trounced by S&P 500 three years after joining

The EV car maker’s shares have risen about 11 per cent since entering the benchmark US index, which itself has surged 28 per cent over the same time.

  • Esha Dey

Yesterday

Both UPS and FedEx delivered about 98 per cent of packages on time in the week after Thanksgiving, according to ShipMatrix, a consultancy that gathers industry data.

FedEx profit falls below expectations on drop in air and truck cargo

FedEx said that this year’s peak holiday volume was similar to last year’s and expects share buybacks of $US1 billion in the last two quarters.

  • Thomas Black
Th ebulls are ending the year firlmy in control.

Rally has more room to run as investors get three green lights

The market has built a head of steam in the last two months, and until there’s a clear risk to the Goldilocks soft landing scenario there is little reason for the bulls to turn.

  • James Thomson
The basis traders rely on vast sums of money borrowed from Wall Street banks.

The hedge fund traders dominating a huge bet on bonds

A trio of top players in the “basis trade” are the driving force behind a gigantic wager on government debt that has regulators worried.

  • Nishant Kumar, Donal Griffin and William Shaw
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The S&P 500 has rallied more than 5 per cent over the last month on rate cut expectations gather momentum.

Global fund mangers extend their equity bets

Fund managers are the most overweight equities relative to cash since January 2022, according to Bank of America’s latest survey of their holdings.

  • Timothy Moore

This Month

Federal Reserve Jerome Powell’s dovish pivot on rate cuts has turned Wall Street’s biggest sceptics more positive on stocks.

Fed’s pivot forces sharemarket sceptics to become believers

Rate cut talk from the Federal Reserve last week has forced even the most steadfast Wall Street bears into changing their tune on US equities.

  • Alexandra Semenova
Zoom’s video conferencing software was a smash hit during the pandemic as entire industries were forced into remote working more or less overnight.

Zoom dropped from Nasdaq in sign pandemic-era darling trade is over

Shares in the video-conferencing company have underperformed every major equity benchmark in 2023, rising just 5.7 per cent.

  • Emily Graffeo and Brody Ford
Chicago Fed boss Austan Goolsbee.

Fed officials add to chorus pushing back against rate-cut bets

Chicago Fed president Austan Goolsbee said he was surprised by the outsize market reaction to the Fed’s updated quarterly economic projections last week.

  • Catarina Saraiva
Morgan Stanley’s outgoing boss James Gorman: “This doesn’t make sense.”

The Fed runs a fool’s errand on bank capital rules

Finding a risk model that captures potential embezzlement, consumer abuse and money laundering losses is no easy task.

  • Marc Rubinstein
Bulls are feeling good about the rally this year, while bears think the hard landing is still possible.

Why it might be time to strap in for a wild end to 2023 on markets

Shares have rallied hard in the past six weeks, but more big moves in the dog days of December aren’t out of the question.

  • James Thomson
The ASX is set to drop at the opening bell on Monday.

ASX to drop 1pc as US rate cut optimism cools

ASX futures indicated shares are poised to drop 1 per cent, or 74 points, at the return of trade on Monday.

  • Joanne Tran
Wall Street led a rally in global stocks this week after the US Federal Reserve signalled it would cut rates next year.

Wall Street’s rally cools as rate cut hopes reined in

Stocks wavered after two US Federal Reserve officials suggested rate cuts would be slower and later than had been speculated.

  • Updated
  • Cristin Flanagan
US Federal Reserve chairman Jerome Powell: Let the pivot party begin.

What really matters for investors now Fed rate cuts are a certainty

After the US central bank signalled rates will fall, Wall Street is at or close to record highs – it’s as if the many increases never happened. But what comes next? 

  • James Thomson
Bill Ackman has cast himself as a protector of Jewish students.

Bill Ackman, Harvard, and the limits of money-driven power

The billionaire Wall Street fund manager thought his donations would give him clout at the university. He was wrong.

  • Maureen Farrell and Rob Copeland
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Ed Emerson is paid more than Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon (pictured).

Goldman’s $152m man to step down – and it’s not David Solomon

Ed Emerson, the head of the investment bank’s commodities business, was paid $US100 million over the past three years, over $30 million more than the CEO over the same period.

  • Updated
  • Sridhar Natarajan
Goldman Sachs Group analysts say the Nasdaq 100’s big September decline has left US tech stocks primed to turn a corner.

Big tech’s ability to deliver on AI looms over sharemarket

The Magnificent Seven have driven about three quarters of the S&P 500’s gain this year, in a rally that has been stoked by the market’s obsession with artificial intelligence.

  • Jeran Wittenstein and Ryan Vlastelica
2024 will be another record years for stocks, according to a new Bloomberg survey.

Wall Street will smash through 5200 points in 2024: Oppenheimer

Investors who stick with 2023’s winners will enjoy another year of strong gains, according to one of Wall Street’s biggest bulls.

  • Michael Msika
Markets have enjoyed a stunning ride in November. as rate cuts are priced in.

Five ways a soft landing could become a hard landing

The momentum in markets right now is strong, but investors are highly leveraged to a Goldilocks outcome of falling interest rates and a gently softening economy. But what if consensus is wrong?

  • James Thomson
Payrolls probably grew by 185,000 last month, after increasing 150,000 in October, while the unemployment rate held steady at 3.9 per cent, according to the median forecast of economists surveyed by Bloomberg.

Bond traders to face a reality check with jobs report

Employment and wage growth are expected to have moderated last month; a miss could trigger a market reversal.

  • Michael Mackenzie and Rich Miller