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Interest rates

Today

House sellers pocket $300,000 gross profits as prices rise

The sharp increase in prices in the September quarter delivered a windfall for many vendors, but profits are expected to weaken next year as prices are predicted to fall.

  • Nila Sweeney
Bank of England governor Andrew Bailey.

UK inflation slows more than forecast, fuelling rate-cut bets

Consumer prices rose 3.9 per cent from a year earlier, down from 4.6 per cent in October, according to the latest monthly data.

  • Tom Rees and Lucy White
Air-fare inflation dropped to 3.3 per cent in November from 7.9 per cent the previous month, while train and bus costs also increased by less year-on-year than in October.

Surprise fall in UK services inflation may hold key to rate cuts

Economists expect services inflation to continue subsiding, pushed lower by the drop in energy prices, the weakening jobs market and lacklustre demand.

  • Tom Rees
While sales are strong at Melbourne-based food packaging manufacturer Pinpak, owner Richard Trchala said he expected conditions to soften over the next year

Manufacturing sector mood hits lowest level since the GFC

A net 41 per cent of manufacturers expect conditions to worsen during the next six months, according to the ACCI-Westpac industrial trends survey.

  • Michael Read

Yesterday

ACCC chairwoman Gina Cass-Gottlieb.

ACCC wants switching banks to be as easy as ditching mobile providers

Gina Cass-Gottlieb’s ACCC deposit inquiry calls for Australia to introduce an account switching service like the ones that operate in Britain and the Netherlands.

  • James Eyers
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Th ebulls are ending the year firlmy in control.

Rally has more room to run as investors get three green lights

The market has built a head of steam in the last two months, and until there’s a clear risk to the Goldilocks soft landing scenario there is little reason for the bulls to turn.

  • James Thomson

This Month

Oil prices are a key determinate of geopolitical tension, Hagai Segal says.

Red Sea oil spike is exactly what markets and central banks don’t need

Falling energy price have made the fight against inflation much easier, which in turn has boosted markets. The Red Sea attacks threaten to change that. 

  • James Thomson
Australians are facing an economic environment of rapidly rising interest rates.

RBA warns it may raise rates again, but markets predict cuts

Markets doubt the central bank will deliver any more rate rises, despite warning it may need to deliver another increase if inflation remains high.

  • Michael Read
Chicago Fed boss Austan Goolsbee.

Fed officials add to chorus pushing back against rate-cut bets

Chicago Fed president Austan Goolsbee said he was surprised by the outsize market reaction to the Fed’s updated quarterly economic projections last week.

  • Catarina Saraiva

Zip raises $150m corporate loans at 15pc

The buy now, pay later company says it has refinanced its corporate loan, the latest in a long-running effort to clean up its balance sheet.

  • Jonathan Shapiro
Falling rates and rising markets have helped get deals moving again.

What’s behind Monday’s $5b deal frenzy

A burst of pre-Christmas deals isn’t unusual. But the impressive market rally in the past six weeks has helped unstick some deals that have been simmering for some time. 

  • James Thomson
Bulls are feeling good about the rally this year, while bears think the hard landing is still possible.

Why it might be time to strap in for a wild end to 2023 on markets

Shares have rallied hard in the past six weeks, but more big moves in the dog days of December aren’t out of the question.

  • James Thomson

BHP at $100, shorting banks, Qantas chaos: the best of Monday Fundie

From Regal to Ellerston Capital and Morningstar, the 48 fund managers profiled by the Financial Review were early, wrong and on the money in 2023.

  • Jonathan Shapiro and Sarah Jones
BHP chief executive Mike Henry.

What top CEOs expect Australia’s economy to look like in 2024

Corporate leaders reckon inflation will linger, but say Australia will avoid a recession in 2024.

  • Updated
  • James Thomson and Anthony Macdonald
Qantas chief executive Vanessa Hudson says she is “cautiously optimistic” the economy will be just as resilient in 2024.

C-suite takes us on a joyride of the economy

‘Resilient’ is the word of the year, and unemployment is the thing to watch, according to Australia’s big CEOs.

  • Anthony Macdonald
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Greg Goodman says inflation will keep slowing in 2024, but calls the business environment “subdued”.

Top CEOs say economy’s soft landing on track

Australia’s top bosses think immigration should bring another year of economic growth, but believe 2024 is likely to be tougher than this year.

  • James Thomson and Anthony Macdonald
Blackstone’s end-of-year video channels Taylor Swift. CEO Stephen Schwarzman dons a shimmery rainbow jacket – like the one Swift Swift wore on her Eras tour.

Why Wall Street’s alternative asset managers are singing

Wall Street’s biggest thing since private equity is celebrating a breakout year for the new money spinners. It may be justified, but history suggests trouble ahead.

  • Updated
  • Jonathan Shapiro

The top London mansions that are struggling to sell

The city’s luxury housing market is usually insulated from property market headwinds, but high interest rates and high taxes are finally taking a toll.

  • Damian Shepherd

Undersupply of new homes to trigger next boom, but not yet

The supply shortage is unlikely to spur strong price growth over the near to medium term, but it could underpin a future rebound, experts say.

  • Nila Sweeney
History says the best time to buy bonds is right before central banks start to cut rates.

Here’s what you need to look for when buying bonds in 2024

When allocating to fixed income, there are things that fund managers look for. With two of the three boxes ticked already, next year could be interesting for the market.

  • Chris Dickman