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Currencies

Today

Wall Street.

ASX to fall, S&P 500 rally runs out of petrol

Australian shares are set to open lower. US stocks sell-off late; Dow sheds 475 points. S&P 500 slides 1.5pc.

  • Updated
  • Timothy Moore

Yesterday

Global shift in rate cut bets sparks Santa rally

A “dovish” pivot from the Fed last week has lit a fire under equities, which have correctly bet that global monetary settings are shifting gear.

  • Updated
  • Sarah Jones and Cecile Lefort
Wall Street.

ASX to rise, S&P 500 edges closer to record high

Australian shares are set to open higher. Dow, Nasdaq 100 reset record highs. Fed official signals rate cut potential. Oil edges towards $US80 mark. $A rises.

  • Timothy Moore

This Month

Wall Street.

ASX to rise, Wall Street powers higher

Australian shares are set to advance. S&P 500 paces gains in New York. Oil retakes $US78 mark. $A steady. Apple lower on Watch patent loss.

  • Timothy Moore
Tapas Strickland at National Australia Bank is tipping the Fed will start cutting rates in June.

Bond traders bet on aggressive rate cuts in 2024

They believe Friday’s US inflation report will confirm a cooling in prices and open the door for early rate cuts next year, despite the jawboning from Fed officials.

  • Cecile Lefort
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Argentina’s new President Javier Milei speaks outside Congress in Buenos Aires.

Why investors are cheering Argentina’s ‘shock therapy’

Analysts believe the radical measures announced this week by new President Javier Milei offer a realistic opportunity to rescue the South American economy.

  • Tim Wallace
Wise CEO Kristo Käärmann: “Although I was a nobody, and this was a market covered by huge European banks … I decided I should try to fix it and compete with the banks.”

This billionaire started his company to avoid paying bank fees

Kristo Käärmann found a cheap way to send British pounds to his native Estonia. His solution now has 16 million global users.

  • James Eyers
Wall Street.

ASX to rise even as Fed-fuelled surge shows signs of overheating

The Federal Reserve-driven rally in global shares continued overnight, pushing the S&P 500 towards overbought levels.

  • Updated
  • Andrew Hobbs
Micaela Fuchila at Bank of America says the RBA lacks confidence that economic data is turning just yet.

Traders double down on RBA rate cuts after Fed pivot

Bond markets are pricing more aggressive monetary easing in the US and Australia after the Federal Reserve flagged a peak in interest rates.

  • Cecile Lefort
Wall Street.

ASX to jump after Fed greenlights future rate cuts

ASX futures jump as the US keeps its key rate unchanged and says it expects three rate cuts next year; US stocks rose and yields sunk after the announcement.

  • Updated
  • Andrew Hobbs
Argentinia’s President Javier Milei.

‘Shock therapy’: Argentines 54pc poorer as president devalues peso

Argentina’s new president, Javier Milei, is taking the first steps in a shock-therapy program to try and pull the country from an inherited economic crisis.

  • Updated
  • Kevin Simauchi, Manuela Tobias and Ignacio Olivera Doll
Federal Reserve chief Jerome Powell will update the central bank’s economic and rate outlook.

Markets trim rate cut bets before Fed meeting

Hotter-than-expected US inflation data fuelled speculation Federal Reserve chairman Jerome Powell will push back on rate cut expectations at the last meeting for 2023.

  • Updated
  • Cecile Lefort
Wall Street.

ASX to open flat as US inflation prompts traders to trim rate cut bets

US stocks, bonds and the dollar struggled for direction after core US consumer price index, which excludes food and energy costs, increased 0.3 per cent.

  • Updated
  • Andrew Hobbs
Iron ore rally has done little to support the Australian dollar.

$A shrugs off iron ore rally as US Fed dominates

The Australia dollar remains at the mercy of the Federal Reserve until the middle of 2024, defying the usual strong influence of iron ore prices which typically support the currency.

  • Cecile Lefort
Wall Street.

ASX to gain as all eyes on US CPI, rates and Bullock

Australian shares are poised for a modestly higher start as investors stay on the sidelines ahead of key US inflation data tomorrow Sydney time and interest rate decisions in the US and UK later this week.

  • Updated
  • Andrew Hobbs
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Wall Street.

Wall Street rises despite enduring labour market strength

All three US benchmarks closed the week higher as strong jobs data did little to dent hopes for a 2024 pivot to rate cuts.

  • Updated
  • Timothy Moore
Wall Street.

ASX to slip, Alphabet surge paces Nasdaq rally

Australian shares are set to open modestly lower. Techs bolster S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite. Oil steadies. Bitcoin slips. $A edges above US66¢.

  • Timothy Moore

$A predicted to sink below US60¢ next year

The Australian dollar is forecast to drop below to levels not seen since the pandemic, before rebounding next year once the Fed starts cuts rates aggressively.

  • Cecile Lefort
Wall Street.

ASX to fall, Wall St fluctuates, oil plunges

Australian shares are poised to fall at the open, tracking losses in New York as oil tumbled anew. Bitcoin hovers at $US44,000.

  • Timothy Moore

Slowing economy fuels rate cut bets in Australia

Bonds rallied after weaker-than-expected GDP for third quarter stoked speculation the central bank could start easing monetary policy in 2024.

  • Cecile Lefort